Brazil and India are getting hammered


For the first time in the pandemic, daily new cases aren’t really going up or down – they’re staying at the same level. On NPR this morning, Dr. Ashish Jha described this as the result of two counteracting forces: the broadening rollout of vaccines and the new variants causing a rapid rise in cases among the unvaccinated (and especially the unvaccinated who are acting as if they’re vaccinated and can get on with their normal lives). But the real message is this: If unvaccinated people were still taking proper precautions, new cases would be at a much lower level than they are now, and would still be falling.

However, at least we can be thankful we’re not India or Brazil. Both of these countries are paying the price for mismanagement of the crisis, although Bolsonaro has to win the prize as the leader who’s most tirelessly worked to put his country in the lead for daily deaths – and he’s achieved that goal in spectacular fashion (although Brazil’s total deaths so far are still a couple hundred thousand below ours).

The numbers

These numbers are calculated based on those reported on the Worldometers.info site for April 11.

Month

Deaths reported during month

Avg. deaths per day during period

Deaths as percentage of previous month’s

Month of March 2020

4,058

131

 

Month of April

59,812

1,994

1,474%

Month of May

42,327

1,365

71%

Month of June

23,925

798

57%

Month of July

26,649

860

111%

Month of August

30,970

999

116%

Month of Sept.

22,809

760

75%

Month of Oct.

24,332

785

107%

Month of Nov.

38,293

1,276

157%

Month of Dec.

79,850

2,576

209%

Total 2020

354,215

1,154

 

Month of Jan. 2021

98,064

3,163

123%

Month of Feb.

68,918

2,461

70%

Month of March

72,693

2,345

105%

Total Pandemic so far

581,075

1,380

 

 

I. Total deaths

Average deaths last seven days: 1,756

Percent increase in total deaths in the last seven days: 2.2%

II. Total reported cases

Total US reported cases as of yesterday: 32,424,500

Increase in reported cases last 7 days: 490,879 (=70,126/day)

Percent increase in reported cases in the last seven days: 2.4%  

 

I would love to hear any comments or questions you have on this post. Drop me an email at tom@tomalrich.com.

 

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